He’s not the only one who needs to see more data before calling this the start of a new wave.
HHS debuts ads for updated Covid-19 booster, focusing on adults 50 and older US Department of Health and Human Services Experts are hopeful that because most of the population now has some underlying immunity to the coronavirus, this wave would be less deadly than we’ve seen in previous winters. In the US, some models have predicted that Covid-19 cases will begin to rise again in October and continue to increase into the winter. So it’s exactly matching what the modelers have have been predicting,” Spector said. “They predicted that we’d get a June to July peak and then there’d be a month where nothing happened in August and then it would flatten in in August and September and then start again in October. The data aligns with what models have predicted would happen in both the UK and the US. The seven-day average of hospitalizations was up 17% in the week ending September 19 compared with the week prior. (Photo by Nathan Howard/Getty Images) Nathan Howard/Getty ImagesĮxperts weigh in on whether the Covid pandemic is overĭata from the National Health Service showed that after falling for nearly two months, the seven-day average of new cases in England and Wales rose 13% for the week ending September 17 over the week before. Like many hospitals in the state, Three Rivers Asante is facing their largest COVID-19 surge since the beginning of the pandemic, forcing them to operate well above capacity. GRANTS PASS, OR - SEPTEMBER 09: (EDITOR'S NOTE: EDITORIAL USE ONLY.) A nurse at Three Rivers Asante Medical Center waits for her next COVID-19 case to be brought from the emergency room shortly after a deceased patient was removed the from the same Intensive Care Unit room on Septemin Grants Pass, Oregon. On Friday, that increase was reflected in official UK government data too, although it was not as large as the increases reported by Zoe loggers. “Our current data is definitely showing this is the beginning of the next wave,” Spector said.
Spector says the study, which has been running since the days of the first lockdown in England in 2020, has accurately captured the start of each wave, and its numbers run about one to two weeks ahead of official government statistics.Īfter seeing a downward trend for the past few weeks, the Zoe study saw a 30% increase in reported Covid-19 cases within the past week. He says that about 500,000 people are currently logging their symptoms every day to help track trends in the pandemic. If they start to feel bad, they take a home Covid-19 test and record those results. Spector runs the Zoe Health Study, which uses an app to let people in the UK and US report their daily symptoms. Tim Spector, professor of genetic epidemiology at Kings College London. I think this is what I’ve sort of been seeing,” said Dr.
“Generally, what happens in the UK is reflected about a month later in the US. 41, 761–770 (2020).Pfizer, Moderna seek authorization for updated Covid-19 boosters for younger children Direct and Indirect Impacts of COVID-19 on Excess Deaths and Morbidity: Executive Summary - 15 July 2020 (UK Government, 2020). PLoS ONE 16, e0252729 (2021).ĭepartment of Health and Social Care, Office for National Statistics, Government Actuary’s Department and Home Office. COVID-19: Make It the Last Pandemic (IPPPR, 2021). Independent Panel on Pandemic Preparedness & Response. R., Fowler, A., Glazer, T., Handel-Meyer, S. Meyerowitz-Katz, G., Besançon, L., Flahault, A.
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